ANA @ WPG

The puck line price is doing the heavy lifting here for the books. ANA +1.5 at -250 is steep, but WPG winning by 2+ goals requires everything to break right — and Dostal, despite the ugly numbers, keeps games close enough to cash the plus side.

Stuart Skinner is the best argument for WPG -1.5. His 0.920 SV% over 3 starts is elite-level goaltending, and the Jets are 3-1 in their last four with wins over COL, PIT, and DET. They're playing at home, generating results against quality opposition. With Josh Morrissey day-to-day, WPG's defensive structure still held up in those wins. ANA is missing Troy Terry at RW plus two defensemen on IR — that's a depleted forward group and a thin blue line trying to contain a Jets offense that's been rolling.

Lukas Dostal's 0.872 SV% and 3.33 GAA over 3 starts look rough, but ANA has gone 2-1 in their last three including a win over Vegas and an OT win over Florida — they're not getting blown out. Covering a puck line means WPG needs a multi-goal margin, and OT results in both teams' recent form (ANA's OT win, WPG's OT loss to BOS) suggest these games are grinding close. Morrissey's day-to-day status on the WPG blue line is a real wildcard — losing your top defenseman changes everything on the back end.

Skinner's 0.920 SV% vs. Dostal's 0.872 SV% is a 48-point gap over 3 starts each — massive early-season split. WPG 3-1 L4, ANA 2-1 L3. Both samples are small.

ANA is without Terry (RW), Helleson (D), and Moore (D) — three IR slots hurting both their scoring depth and defensive rotation. Morrissey's day-to-day status for WPG is the key injury watch; if he's out, their top-pairing minutes take a hit at home.

ANA +1.5 at -250 is a massive price for a puck line underdog — sharp books rarely post juice this steep without expecting action on WPG. Fading the public here has value.